EUR/USD to find it harder to break out below the bottom of the 1.0500-1.1000 range – MUFG

The EUR has been trending lower against the USD for most of the third quarter. Economists at MUFG Bank analyze EUR/USD outlook.

USD to lose upward momentum

We expect the USD to lose upward momentum as EUR/USD moves closer to the bottom of the 1.0500 to 1.1000 trading range. 

Absent another negative shock for the Eurozone economy such as the price of Oil surging back above $100/barrel, we expect the pair to find it harder to break out below the bottom of the 1.0500 to 1.1000 trading range in the month ahead.